Ce Arkansas
W-L: (20-11) PR = 94.1086Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 71-78 1107 A LYON **-43 1110 H Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 77-89 1119 A Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 81-58 1124 A Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 67-44 1125 A Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 70-42 1126 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 70-51 1206 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 48-57 1213 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 82-75 1217 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 55-70 1222 H Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 61-65 101 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 65-43 103 H Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 51-64 108 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 85-29 110 H Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 54-64 115 H Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 86-96 117 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 79-72 121 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 87-66 129 H Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 52-63 131 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 64-70 204 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 64-39 207 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 60-47 209 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 59-48 212 A Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 60-48 214 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 85-37 218 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 67-63 221 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 73-59 225 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 62-55 227 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 65-47 305 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 67-56 307 H Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 58-67
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Missouri 71-78 -7 -2 -0.49
1110 H Arkansas 77-89 -12 -1 -1.38
1119 A Arkansas St 81-58 23 -1 + 2.83
1124 A Samford 67-44 23 1 0.72
1125 A Stony Brook 70-42 28 1 1.22
1126 A Georgia St 70-51 19 1 1.10
1206 H Little Rock 48-57 -9 1 - -2.52
1213 A Grambling St 82-75 7 2 0.00
1217 H La Tech 55-70 -15 -1 -1.04
1222 H Missouri St 61-65 -4 -1 -1.46
101 A Stetson 65-43 22 0 1.83
103 H Fl Gulf Co 51-64 -13 0 - -2.32
108 A Bellarmine 85-29 56 3 0.00
110 H Ea Kentucky 54-64 -10 0 -1.71
115 H Jacksonville 86-96 -10 0 -1.54
117 A No Florida 79-72 7 2 0.23
121 A We Georgia 87-66 21 1 1.18
129 H Fl Gulf Co 52-63 -11 0 - -2.32
131 H Stetson 64-70 -6 0 - -2.19
204 A Queens Univ 64-39 25 2 0.00
207 A Lipscomb 60-47 13 2 0.41
209 A No Alabama 59-48 11 1 1.30
212 A Ea Kentucky 60-48 12 0 + 2.31
214 A Bellarmine 85-37 48 3 0.00
218 A Austin Peay 67-63 4 0 1.57
221 A We Georgia 73-59 14 1 1.18
225 A No Alabama 62-55 7 1 1.30
227 A Queens Univ 65-47 18 2 0.00
305 A No Alabama 67-56 11 1 1.30
307 H Jacksonville 58-67 -9 0 -1.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 H Little Rock 48-57 -9 1 - -2.52 103 H Fl Gulf Co 51-64 -13 0 - -2.32 129 H Fl Gulf Co 52-63 -11 0 - -2.32 131 H Stetson 64-70 -6 0 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 A Arkansas St 81-58 23 -1 + 2.83 212 A Ea Kentucky 60-48 12 0 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 71-78 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.17
3 H Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 77-89 -5.16 5.80 -0.01 1.01 -2.61
3 A Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 81-58 -4.97 5.99 0.01 1.01 12.14
3 A Samford (14-19, 92.8) 67-44 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.01 7.87
3 A Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 70-42 -6.58 4.38 0.01 1.01 8.88
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 70-51 -6.70 4.26 0.01 1.01 8.63
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 48-57 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.01 -3.19
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 82-75 -7.92 3.04 0.01 1.01 6.18
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 55-70 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 1.01 -2.45
3 H Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 61-65 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.01 -2.66
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 65-43 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.01 10.12
3 H Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 51-64 -6.10 4.86 -0.01 1.01 -3.09
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 85-29 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.01 3.75
3 H Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 54-64 -5.49 5.47 -0.01 1.01 -2.78
3 H Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 86-96 -5.32 5.64 -0.01 1.01 -2.69
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 79-72 -7.58 3.38 0.01 1.01 6.87
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 87-66 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.01 8.79
3 H Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 52-63 -6.10 4.86 -0.01 1.01 -3.09
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 64-70 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.01 -3.02
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 64-39 -8.02 2.94 0.01 1.01 5.97
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 60-47 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.01 7.24
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 59-48 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.01 9.05
3 A Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 60-48 -5.49 5.47 0.01 1.01 11.09
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 85-37 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.01 3.75
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 67-63 -6.23 4.73 0.01 1.01 9.60
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 73-59 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.01 8.79
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 62-55 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.01 9.05
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 65-47 -8.02 2.94 0.01 1.01 5.97
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 67-56 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.01 9.05
3 H Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 58-67 -5.32 5.64 -0.01 1.01 -2.69
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122.34
|
winning pts = 152.7813 losing points = -30.4458
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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